According to someone called Paul Lambert on Comment is Free:All 16 U.S. Intelligence agencies, told George W. Bush in January 2003 that:
'the invasion of Iraq . . . would be likely to spark violent sectarian divides and provide al-Qaeda with new opportunities in Iraq and Afghanistan . . . Analysts warned that war in Iraq also could provoke Iran to assert its regional influence and "probably would result in a surge of political Islam and increased funding for terrorist groups" in the Muslim world'.